XWord Muggles Forum

Bird Lives wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:09 am

boharr wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:41 am

yourpalsal wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:35 am
Green with envy of those who said it’s easy

People on the first page always say it's easy, and it's often the same people. By page three, people are saying, well, maybe it's not so easy. Perhaps even hard. When the pages get to the teens, we see the many struggles. This is a trend.

It's a sampling problem. The people on the first page -- and they're not always the same people -- say it's easy because it was easy . . for them. That's why they're on the first page. But they're a highly skewed sample. Also, we tend to attribute our performance to the meta, not to ourselves. If I got it quickly and am on page one, it must be easy. If it took me a while, or if I didn't get it at all, it must be hard. But maybe what's different is not the difficulty of the meta but me -- better at some kinds of metas, worse at others.

Eric Porter wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:19 am While I was on the wrong island earlier, I'm definitely on the beach with all of you now.

The only help I got was that my first answer was wrong, without a hint of where to go. After the contest is over, I'll share my wrong guess. You may find it amusing.

I realized what to do while trying to fall asleep last night, making this the second week in a row where I solved the meta without having it in front of me.

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:20 am

oldjudge wrote: ↑Thu Jul 23, 2020 11:48 pm

boharr wrote: ↑Thu Jul 23, 2020 10:14 pm On shore. Took an early shove because I really wanted to watch baseball tonight (Go Yanks). But, alas, we may have a rainout. Bummer. Goes without saying I won't be submitting.

Official game-Yanks won 4-1. Cole only allowed one hit.

This could be a wacky season. Some unexpected team or guy could get hot - or some rookie you never heard of. Will records count if they are made this year??

C=64 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:42 am

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:20 am

oldjudge wrote: ↑Thu Jul 23, 2020 11:48 pm

Official game-Yanks won 4-1. Cole only allowed one hit.

This could be a wacky season. Some unexpected team or guy could get hot - or some rookie you never heard of. Will records count if they are made this year??

With all this talk of small sample size, this season would be a great opportunity for records based on rates, such as batting average or ERA. DiMaggio's streak is probably safe for another year.

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:13 pm

C=64 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:42 am

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:20 am
This could be a wacky season. Some unexpected team or guy could get hot - or some rookie you never heard of. Will records count if they are made this year??

With all this talk of small sample size, this season would be a great opportunity for records based on rates, such as batting average or ERA. DiMaggio's streak is probably safe for another year.

I remember one year when George Brett hit over 400 for the first few months of the season and everyone was talking about him breaking Ted Williams's record

TPS wrote: ↑Thu Jul 23, 2020 8:36 pm

Streroto wrote: ↑Thu Jul 23, 2020 8:30 pm Easy grid done by 4:15.

When I first read this I thought it meant you finished the grid in 4 minutes 15 seconds - and I was like "Holy F'ing Sh*t" I'm always ecstatic when I finish them in under 20 minutes but I'm happy anytime less than 30 minutes and thought I was pretty decent at solving grids - but I need to reevaluate that if people are solving these in under 5 minutes!! But then my brain started working.

Al Sisti wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:32 pm

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:13 pm

C=64 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:42 am
With all this talk of small sample size, this season would be a great opportunity for records based on rates, such as batting average or ERA. DiMaggio's streak is probably safe for another year.

I remember one year when George Brett hit over 400 for the first few months of the season and everyone was talking about him breaking Ted Williams's record

(this is from memory, so forgive me if it's not completely accurate) When Ted Williams came into the final day of the year -- a double header -- he was hitting over .400 -- like .402 or something. His manager said, "You know, if you sit, you'll be guaranteed to break .400." Williams insisted on playing and went 6-8 in the double header and brought his final average to .406.

joequavis wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 1:21 pm I'm clearly going insane (by the pop definition) as my same method keeps yielding nothing intelligible. I wish my brain had a ctl-alt-del...


...and I seem to remember <insert troubled Philly kid here> hitting over .400 into mid-June in the mid-80s. Can't think of his name. Google time

Edit: man was I off...Lenny Dykstra, 1990, born in CA and definitely played for the Mets before the Phillies and self-destructing.

Al Sisti wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:32 pm

Bob cruise director wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 12:13 pm

C=64 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 24, 2020 11:42 am
With all this talk of small sample size, this season would be a great opportunity for records based on rates, such as batting average or ERA. DiMaggio's streak is probably safe for another year.

I remember one year when George Brett hit over 400 for the first few months of the season and everyone was talking about him breaking Ted Williams's record

(this is from memory, so forgive me if it's not completely accurate) When Ted Williams came into the final day of the year -- a double header -- he was hitting over .400 -- like .402 or something. His manager said, "You know, if you sit, you'll be guaranteed to break .400." Williams insisted on playing and went 6-8 in the double header and brought his final average to .406.